Nathan London identified sectors that could best contribute to non-oil growth and employment in four states of Nigeria: Cross River, Kaduna, Kano, and Lagos. We took an innovative approach to overcome data constraints by triangulating with key informants and developing a method to score the contribution of 14 value chains:

  • Aquaculture and Calabar port and EPZ
  • Cocoa
  • Construction
  • Dairy
  • Food processing
  • ICT
  • Leather
  • Light manufacturing
  • Meat and poultry
  • Solid minerals
  • Oil palm
  • Rice
  • Tourism
  • Wholesale/retail

For each value chain, we examined the feasibility and desirability of interventions on the basis of competitiveness gaps, reforms needed, the potential difficulty of reforms, the investment capacity of the private sector, the role of the value chain in the economy, and the number of potential beneficiaries. Our experts

  • Consulted extensively with public and private sector stakeholders
  • Created comprehensive profiles of products, industries, and markets that involved
    benchmarking with comparator and competing countries
  • Reviewed sector and market constraints on commercial growth
  • Determined sequences of steps for addressing constraints and the risk, benefits, and potential net impact of government, private sector, and donor interventions.

The study formed the basis of the $265 million DFID-World Bank Growth and Employment in States (GEMS) program, which Nathan London also helped design.

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